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Bundesliga
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 43% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1751
Form: LWLLL
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1863
Form: WDWLD
Model Probability
29%
43%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.0%56.3%12.6%<1%<1%
If Win 2.8%65.6%12.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.4%54.8%13.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.0%43.5%14.5%<1%<1%

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.5%4.5%10.0%3.4%
If Win <1%8.6%6.8%5.7%1.6%
If Draw <1%4.3%3.8%10.0%3.2%
If Lose <1%3.2%3.6%11.7%4.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatBayer Leverkusen
4Games played4
1.8Avg goals scored2.5
2.5Avg goals conceded1.2
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatBayer Leverkusen
9All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)18
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen