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Bundesliga
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

Mainz vs Stuttgart Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 37% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
VS
1-0-3 · Rating 1820
Form: LLWLD
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stuttgart

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%23.6%11.4%1.8%<1%
If Win <1%28.8%13.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%21.6%13.5%2.1%<1%
If Lose <1%18.0%10.8%2.3%<1%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%13.0%8.9%3.9%<1%
If Win <1%16.8%11.1%2.2%<1%
If Draw <1%10.2%8.8%3.8%<1%
If Lose <1%9.8%7.4%5.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatStuttgart
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored1.5
1.5Avg goals conceded2.2
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 0% / 75%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatStuttgart
10All-time wins (29 meetings, 8 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-03-07): Mainz 2–2 Stuttgart