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Bundesliga
Sat, May 15, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

Hoffenheim vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Hoffenheim has a 42% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1751
Form: LWLLL
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
42%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%13.4%8.1%4.0%<1%
If Win <1%17.7%10.0%2.0%<1%
If Draw <1%12.2%8.4%3.5%<1%
If Lose <1%10.0%7.9%4.3%<1%

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.2%4.7%9.9%2.8%
If Win <1%5.8%5.7%7.2%1.8%
If Draw <1%4.5%4.7%10.5%3.2%
If Lose <1%3.0%3.2%12.8%4.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatMainz
4Games played4
1.8Avg goals scored2.5
2.5Avg goals conceded1.5
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatMainz
9All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)15
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.5Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-04-04): Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz