Bundesliga
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Mainz vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability
Dortmund has a 48% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Dortmund
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 16.6% | 90.6% | 4.3% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 18.6% | 93.9% | 2.7% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 16.0% | 90.4% | 4.1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 13.1% | 87.5% | 5.7% | <1% | <1% |
Mainz
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | 17.6% | 10.2% | 2.4% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.8% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% | <1% |
| Mainz | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games played | 4 |
| 2.5 | Avg goals scored | 2.2 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 0.5 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Mainz | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws) | 22 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.9 |
Recent Results
Mainz
@ B. Monchengladbach
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Hamburger SV
Sun, Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0
vs Paderborn
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Heidenheim
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0