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Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT

Bayern Munich vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 63% chance to win.

3-1-0 · Rating 2045
Form: WWDWW
VS
4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
63%
16%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 17.8%91.6%3.5%<1%<1%
If Win 32.6%95.8%2.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 18.8%92.1%3.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 12.2%89.6%5.0%<1%<1%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 76.8%99.4%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 83.9%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 76.3%99.6%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 61.8%98.8%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatDortmund
4Games played4
3.5Avg goals scored2.2
0.5Avg goals conceded0.5
75% / 25% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatDortmund
19All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
2.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich