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Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 69% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1749
Form: LDWWL
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 2045
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
13%
69%
Draw 19%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 78.2%99.5%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 81.3%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 74.6%99.3%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 67.6%98.7%<1%<1%<1%

Augsburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%9.0%7.8%6.1%1.0%
If Win <1%20.3%11.1%2.0%<1%
If Draw <1%11.5%8.1%4.6%<1%
If Lose <1%8.4%6.5%6.3%1.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AugsburgStatBayern Munich
4Games played4
2.8Avg goals scored3.5
1.5Avg goals conceded0.5
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AugsburgStatBayern Munich
5All-time wins (30 meetings, 2 draws)23
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.0Average goals2.5
Last meeting (2026-01-24): Bayern Munich 1–2 Augsburg