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Bundesliga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Mainz vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 66% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 2045
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
14%
66%
Draw 20%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 77.9%99.5%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 82.6%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 74.5%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 68.5%98.9%<1%<1%<1%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.9%8.4%3.7%<1%
If Win <1%21.3%12.8%1.5%<1%
If Draw <1%14.4%9.0%2.8%<1%
If Lose <1%10.9%8.1%4.5%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatBayern Munich
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored3.5
1.5Avg goals conceded0.5
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatBayern Munich
7All-time wins (33 meetings, 3 draws)23
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.2Average goals2.8
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Mainz 3–4 Bayern Munich