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Bundesliga
Sun, Nov 22, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Augsburg vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Augsburg has a 42% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1749
Form: LDWWL
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
42%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%13.0%8.6%4.1%<1%
If Win <1%18.5%12.0%1.9%<1%
If Draw <1%13.2%9.0%3.0%<1%
If Lose <1%9.7%6.5%5.3%<1%

Augsburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%9.9%7.4%5.5%1.1%
If Win <1%14.8%9.6%2.8%<1%
If Draw <1%9.1%6.3%6.3%1.3%
If Lose <1%6.2%4.5%8.8%2.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AugsburgStatMainz
4Games played4
2.8Avg goals scored2.5
1.5Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AugsburgStatMainz
12All-time wins (30 meetings, 3 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.3Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-02-07): Mainz 2–0 Augsburg