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Augsburg vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Augsburg has a 45% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sun, Nov 22, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Augsburg
2-3-4Rating 1732
Form: LLDLD
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.3%2.6%12.8%1.5%
If Win <1%3.0%3.8%5.6%<1%
If Draw <1%1.0%1.9%10.9%1.6%
If Lose <1%<1%1.2%15.5%3.6%

Augsburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.6%2.1%11.5%2.2%
If Win <1%2.5%3.6%7.3%1.1%
If Draw <1%1.1%1.7%12.5%2.6%
If Lose <1%<1%1.0%18.2%3.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AugsburgStatMainz
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored2.0
2.2Avg goals conceded2.1
22% / 33% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 11% / 56%
20% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AugsburgStatMainz
12All-time wins (30 meetings, 3 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.3Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-02-07): Mainz 2–0 Augsburg