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Dortmund vs FC Koln Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 74% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 14, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Dortmund
5-3-0Rating 1916
Form: DWDDW
vs
Model Probability
74%
Draw 16%
10%
Bundesliga
FC Koln
2-3-3Rating 1691
Form: DDLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

FC Koln

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.1%25.8%6.3%
If Win <1%1.3%1.5%19.7%4.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%23.6%6.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%26.2%8.3%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 12.5%91.6%4.4%<1%<1%
If Win 13.9%92.7%3.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 9.8%90.4%4.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 7.6%88.0%5.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatFC Koln
8Games played8
1.8Avg goals scored1.1
0.8Avg goals conceded1.5
62% / 38% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 38% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatFC Koln
15All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws)4
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.4Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-03-07): FC Koln 1–2 Dortmund