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FC Koln vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

FC Koln has a 38% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
FC Koln
2-3-3Rating 1691
Form: DDLWL
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-4Rating 1733
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.9%2.8%10.0%2.2%
If Win <1%4.0%3.8%6.7%1.0%
If Draw <1%1.7%2.1%10.6%2.3%
If Lose <1%1.7%1.8%14.6%2.9%

FC Koln

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%26.5%8.0%
If Win <1%<1%1.2%20.3%4.2%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%27.4%6.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.5%9.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FC KolnStatMainz
8Games played8
1.1Avg goals scored2.1
1.5Avg goals conceded2.1
25% / 38% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 12% / 50%
50% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FC KolnStatMainz
7All-time wins (25 meetings, 10 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.0Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-17): FC Koln 2–1 Mainz