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Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 57% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Dortmund
5-3-0Rating 1916
Form: DWDDW
vs
Model Probability
57%
Draw 24%
20%
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
5-0-3Rating 1830
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%48.8%14.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.6%58.2%14.0%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%51.8%15.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%44.6%15.2%<1%<1%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.7%93.0%3.5%<1%<1%
If Win 15.2%95.0%2.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 10.3%90.4%4.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 8.2%88.0%5.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatRB Leipzig
8Games played8
1.8Avg goals scored2.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.4
62% / 38% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 0% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatRB Leipzig
8All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-02-21): RB Leipzig 2–2 Dortmund