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Augsburg vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 52% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 16, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Augsburg
2-3-3Rating 1740
Form: LDLDL
vs
Model Probability
22%
Draw 25%
52%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
5-3-0Rating 1916
Form: DWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.9%91.6%4.0%<1%<1%
If Win 15.1%94.4%3.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 10.9%91.2%4.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 8.4%87.9%5.6%<1%<1%

Augsburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.5%3.6%10.2%1.8%
If Win <1%4.5%5.4%5.8%<1%
If Draw <1%2.9%3.7%8.8%1.9%
If Lose <1%2.8%3.6%10.8%2.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AugsburgStatDortmund
8Games played8
2.2Avg goals scored1.8
1.9Avg goals conceded0.8
25% / 38% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 38% / 0%
20% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AugsburgStatDortmund
5All-time wins (30 meetings, 7 draws)18
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.2Average goals2.4
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg