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Dortmund vs Schalke Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 82% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 9, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Dortmund
5-3-0Rating 1916
Form: DWDDW
vs
Model Probability
82%
Draw 11%
6%
Bundesliga
Schalke
1-3-4Rating 1612
Form: LDLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%33.4%41.4%
If Win <1%<1%<1%36.4%27.7%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%35.6%36.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.1%42.7%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 12.9%92.1%3.8%<1%<1%
If Win 12.5%92.3%4.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 10.1%88.5%5.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 7.3%86.5%6.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatSchalke
8Games played8
1.8Avg goals scored0.5
0.8Avg goals conceded1.1
62% / 38% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 38% / 50%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatSchalke
11All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)6
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2023-03-11): Schalke 2–2 Dortmund