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Bayer Leverkusen vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 37% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 2, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1-3Rating 1848
Form: LLWWW
vs
Model Probability
35%
Draw 28%
37%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
5-3-0Rating 1916
Form: DWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 12.9%91.4%4.4%<1%<1%
If Win 15.4%95.4%2.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 10.2%91.7%4.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 9.5%89.1%4.8%<1%<1%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%47.2%15.9%<1%<1%
If Win 1.1%55.1%14.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%45.7%14.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%38.8%16.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatDortmund
8Games played8
2.2Avg goals scored1.8
2.0Avg goals conceded0.8
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 38% / 0%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatDortmund
9All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)18
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.3Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen