Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-03 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-29 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-11 | 0–1 | Bayer Leverkusen +1 | Dortmund 51% | |
| 2025-11-29 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Bayer Leverkusen 42% | |
| 2025-05-11 | 2–4 | Dortmund +2 | Bayer Leverkusen 48% | |
| 2025-01-10 | 2–3 | Bayer Leverkusen +1 | Bayer Leverkusen 39% | |
| 2024-04-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 37% | |
| 2023-12-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen 45% | |
| 2023-01-29 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Bayer Leverkusen 38% | |
| 2022-08-06 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 44% | |
| 2022-02-06 | 2–5 | Bayer Leverkusen +3 | Dortmund 50% | |
| 2021-09-11 | 3–4 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 37% | |
| 2021-05-22 | 3–1 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 60% | |
| 2021-01-19 | 2–1 | Bayer Leverkusen +1 | Bayer Leverkusen 44% | |
| 2020-02-08 | 4–3 | Bayer Leverkusen +1 | Dortmund 39% | |
| 2019-09-14 | 4–0 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 50% | |
| 2019-02-24 | 3–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 55% | |
| 2018-09-29 | 2–4 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 36% | |
| 2018-04-21 | 4–0 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 47% | |
| 2017-12-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen 38% | |
| 2017-03-04 | 6–2 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 61% | |
| 2016-10-01 | 2–0 | Bayer Leverkusen +2 | Dortmund 43% | |
| 2016-02-21 | 0–1 | Dortmund +1 | Bayer Leverkusen 37% | |
| 2015-09-20 | 3–0 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 49% | |
| 2015-01-31 | 0–0 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen 43% | |
| 2014-08-23 | 0–2 | Bayer Leverkusen +2 | Dortmund 60% | |
| 2014-04-26 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 47% | |
| 2013-12-07 | 0–1 | Bayer Leverkusen +1 | Dortmund 54% | |
| 2013-02-03 | 2–3 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 46% | |
| 2012-09-15 | 3–0 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 61% | |
| 2012-02-11 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 56% | |
| 2011-08-27 | 0–0 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen 38% | |
| 2011-01-14 | 1–3 | Dortmund +2 | Bayer Leverkusen 38% | |
| 2010-08-22 | 0–2 | Bayer Leverkusen +2 | Dortmund 44% | |
| 2010-03-20 | 3–0 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 42% |