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Marseille vs Lens Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 46% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Ligue 1
Lens
4-1-5Rating 1790
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%6.6%6.8%2.8%<1%
If Win <1%10.8%8.1%1.3%<1%
If Draw <1%6.0%6.6%2.4%<1%
If Lose <1%5.4%4.2%3.0%<1%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%30.2%12.2%<1%<1%
If Win <1%33.3%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.0%12.7%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%22.1%11.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLens
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored1.7
1.4Avg goals conceded1.5
60% / 0% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 10% / 50%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLens
9All-time wins (18 meetings, 2 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-11-08): Lens 1–2 Marseille