Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-08 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-24 | 3–1 | Marseille +2 | Marseille 44% | |
| 2025-10-25 | 2–1 | Lens +1 | Marseille 36% | |
| 2025-03-08 | 0–1 | Lens +1 | Marseille 58% | |
| 2024-11-23 | 1–3 | Marseille +2 | Lens 39% | |
| 2024-04-28 | 2–1 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 47% | |
| 2023-11-12 | 1–0 | Lens +1 | Lens 39% | |
| 2023-05-06 | 2–1 | Lens +1 | Lens 42% | |
| 2022-10-22 | 0–1 | Lens +1 | Marseille 51% | |
| 2022-01-22 | 0–2 | Marseille +2 | Lens 41% | |
| 2021-09-26 | 2–3 | Lens +1 | Marseille 49% | |
| 2021-02-03 | 2–2 | Draw | Lens 40% | |
| 2021-01-20 | 0–1 | Lens +1 | Marseille 52% | |
| 2015-03-22 | 0–4 | Marseille +4 | Marseille 51% | |
| 2014-11-02 | 2–1 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 63% | |
| 2011-04-03 | 0–1 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 52% | |
| 2010-11-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Marseille 64% | |
| 2010-04-04 | 1–0 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 55% |