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Nice vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Nice has a 36% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Nice
5-2-3Rating 1736
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
36%
Draw 28%
36%
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%27.0%13.3%<1%<1%
If Win <1%33.1%14.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.6%11.9%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%21.7%12.1%<1%<1%

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.4%4.3%3.6%<1%
If Win <1%8.0%6.1%1.6%<1%
If Draw <1%4.0%5.0%3.4%<1%
If Lose <1%3.1%3.3%4.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NiceStatMarseille
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored2.2
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
50% / 20% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 0% / 40%
60% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NiceStatMarseille
10All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)16
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Marseille 1–1 Nice