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Ligue 1
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Lyon vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 63% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1695
Form: WLDLD
Model Probability
63%
16%
Draw 21%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%25.9%14.9%
If Win <1%1.2%1.7%19.0%8.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%24.7%13.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.2%18.0%

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.1%37.8%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win 10.1%42.7%13.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 5.5%32.7%12.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 3.0%24.3%12.1%1.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LyonStatNice
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored0.6
0.4Avg goals conceded1.2
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LyonStatNice
16All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)11
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.9Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-02-15): Lyon 2–0 Nice