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Ligue 1
Fri, Oct 9, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Lens vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 46% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 8.1%38.5%14.8%<1%<1%
If Win 13.0%50.8%15.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 7.0%38.0%14.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 4.9%30.2%13.0%<1%<1%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.3%17.4%10.4%1.6%<1%
If Win 3.6%25.4%13.0%1.0%<1%
If Draw 1.2%15.0%10.7%2.4%<1%
If Lose <1%10.5%8.1%3.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatLyon
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored2.0
1.8Avg goals conceded0.4
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatLyon
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-05-17): Lyon 0–4 Lens