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Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Troyes vs Lens Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 49% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
Model Probability
25%
49%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.4%19.1%10.8%2.1%<1%
If Win 3.3%22.8%12.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.5%16.3%9.5%2.3%<1%
If Lose 1.1%10.7%8.3%3.4%<1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%27.1%19.5%
If Win <1%<1%<1%23.1%11.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.4%18.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.7%25.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatLens
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.8
2.2Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatLens
0All-time wins (5 meetings, 2 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.6Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2023-01-28): Troyes 1–1 Lens