Ligue 1
Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability
Marseille has a 48% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Toulouse
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 15.2% | 5.2% |
| If Win | <1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 10.6% | 2.7% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 15.2% | 4.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 18.6% | 8.6% |
Marseille
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 12.1% | 3.7% |
| If Win | <1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 12.1% | 4.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 16.3% | 6.7% |
| Marseille | Stat | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 20% / 0% / 80% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 40% / 40% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Marseille | Stat | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | All-time wins (29 meetings, 12 draws) | 1 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 1.9 | Average goals | 0.8 |