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Ligue 1
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 2:00 PM BST

Angers vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Angers has a 40% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1735
Form: WDLWL
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.2%3.2%11.3%4.0%
If Win <1%5.7%4.2%6.6%1.8%
If Draw <1%2.9%3.5%11.0%3.6%
If Lose <1%1.8%2.2%13.3%5.5%

Angers

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.2%3.3%11.4%3.5%
If Win <1%4.6%4.2%7.6%1.8%
If Draw <1%2.7%2.8%13.0%4.1%
If Lose <1%1.7%2.2%15.8%6.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AngersStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.4
1.0Avg goals conceded1.6
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AngersStatMarseille
2All-time wins (20 meetings, 9 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Angers 2–5 Marseille