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PSG vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 82% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
82%
Draw 11%
6%
Ligue 1
Nice
5-2-3Rating 1736
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.3%5.3%2.7%<1%
If Win <1%9.4%7.5%1.0%<1%
If Draw <1%5.4%5.0%3.4%<1%
If Lose <1%3.8%3.9%3.8%<1%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 95.7%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 96.6%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 94.3%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 94.0%99.6%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatNice
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored1.5
1.0Avg goals conceded1.2
70% / 20% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 20% / 30%
75% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatNice
20All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)6
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.9Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-03-21): Nice 0–4 PSG