← Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / PSG vs Le Mans
Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

PSG vs Le Mans Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 79% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
VS
1-3-1 · Rating 1707
Form: WDDLD
Model Probability
79%
8%
Draw 13%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Mans

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.3%1.5%19.2%8.9%
If Win <1%3.3%2.8%11.9%3.0%
If Draw <1%1.8%1.6%18.0%7.8%
If Lose <1%<1%1.1%21.3%9.4%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 59.6%90.8%4.4%<1%<1%
If Win 65.1%92.8%3.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 56.0%87.0%6.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 45.9%81.6%6.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatLe Mans
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.8
1.4Avg goals conceded1.8
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 60% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatLe Mans
0All-time wins (1 meetings, 0 draws)1
0Last 1 meetings (0 draws)1
0.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2010-05-08): Le Mans 1–0 PSG