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Troyes vs PSG Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 76% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Troyes
2-2-6Rating 1684
Form: LWDLL
vs
Model Probability
9%
Draw 15%
76%
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 96.0%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 97.1%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 95.0%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 93.8%99.7%<1%<1%<1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%34.2%13.6%
If Win <1%<1%<1%29.3%7.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%34.0%11.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.3%12.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatPSG
10Games played10
0.7Avg goals scored2.2
1.7Avg goals conceded1.0
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 20% / 10%
20% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatPSG
0All-time wins (11 meetings, 1 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.7Average goals3.1
Last meeting (2026-11-07): PSG 1–0 Troyes