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PSG vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 81% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 29, 2027 · 8:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
81%
Draw 12%
7%
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3-4-3Rating 1756
Form: WLDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.2%3.1%5.4%<1%
If Win <1%6.4%5.1%2.8%<1%
If Draw <1%3.7%3.2%4.9%<1%
If Lose <1%2.9%2.5%6.5%<1%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 96.3%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 97.0%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 94.6%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 93.7%99.6%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatToulouse
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored1.5
1.0Avg goals conceded1.4
70% / 20% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 40% / 30%
75% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatToulouse
23All-time wins (28 meetings, 3 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
2.4Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-04-03): PSG 3–1 Toulouse