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Ligue 1
Sat, May 29, 2027 · 8:00 PM BST

PSG vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 76% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
Model Probability
76%
9%
Draw 15%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.3%2.4%14.4%4.9%
If Win <1%2.8%3.0%9.7%2.9%
If Draw <1%1.9%2.4%14.0%5.3%
If Lose <1%1.7%2.0%15.6%6.3%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 60.5%89.9%4.3%<1%<1%
If Win 65.5%92.9%3.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 55.5%88.8%5.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 54.1%87.9%5.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatToulouse
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.8
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatToulouse
23All-time wins (28 meetings, 3 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
2.4Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-04-03): PSG 3–1 Toulouse