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Ligue 1
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Strasbourg vs Troyes Prediction & Win Probability

Strasbourg has a 58% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1787
Form: LDWWL
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
Model Probability
58%
19%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%26.6%18.9%
If Win <1%<1%<1%23.9%14.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.7%18.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.4%21.6%

Strasbourg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.1%11.5%8.0%4.1%1.0%
If Win 1.4%12.0%8.7%3.1%<1%
If Draw 1.0%9.7%7.6%4.2%<1%
If Lose <1%7.3%5.8%5.2%1.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StrasbourgStatTroyes
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored0.8
2.0Avg goals conceded2.2
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StrasbourgStatTroyes
2All-time wins (7 meetings, 3 draws)2
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.9Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-09-06): Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg