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Ligue 1
Sun, May 9, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST

Lyon vs PSG Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 48% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
Model Probability
25%
48%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 61.3%90.9%4.4%<1%<1%
If Win 68.8%93.4%3.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 58.7%90.3%4.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 54.3%87.5%5.7%<1%<1%

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.9%37.2%13.6%<1%<1%
If Win 11.4%45.7%14.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 7.7%37.8%13.7%<1%<1%
If Lose 4.9%34.2%13.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LyonStatPSG
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.6
0.4Avg goals conceded1.4
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LyonStatPSG
8All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws)20
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.1Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-04-19): PSG 1–2 Lyon