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Auxerre vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 43% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3-1-6Rating 1698
Form: LLDWL
vs
Model Probability
29%
Draw 27%
43%
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-3Rating 1811
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%26.5%12.9%<1%<1%
If Win <1%30.8%13.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%22.1%12.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%19.0%11.2%<1%<1%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%29.9%8.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%24.5%4.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%31.2%8.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%33.0%10.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatLyon
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored1.5
2.4Avg goals conceded0.9
30% / 10% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 20% / 30%
40% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatLyon
2All-time wins (12 meetings, 3 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-09-04): Lyon 3–1 Auxerre