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Ligue 1
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Auxerre vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 44% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1714
Form: WWLLL
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
29%
44%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 8.1%38.5%13.9%<1%<1%
If Win 9.5%44.4%14.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 5.9%35.1%14.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 4.8%31.3%13.6%<1%<1%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.4%1.6%19.7%9.2%
If Win <1%2.2%2.1%15.9%6.0%
If Draw <1%1.1%1.1%21.5%8.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%22.6%10.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatLyon
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.0
2.4Avg goals conceded0.4
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatLyon
2All-time wins (12 meetings, 3 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-09-04): Lyon 3–1 Auxerre