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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 51% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
2-0-3 · Rating 1714
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.4%1.3%18.5%9.2%
If Win <1%2.2%2.8%14.8%5.5%
If Draw <1%<1%1.5%19.7%8.5%
If Lose <1%<1%1.2%20.9%10.3%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.4%3.4%11.4%4.0%
If Win <1%3.8%3.7%9.2%2.5%
If Draw <1%2.8%2.7%12.7%3.7%
If Lose <1%1.7%2.0%15.2%5.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatAuxerre
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded2.4
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 0% / 60%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatAuxerre
5All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-03-13): Marseille 1–0 Auxerre