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Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 59% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
59%
Draw 23%
18%
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3-1-6Rating 1698
Form: LLDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%28.8%8.5%
If Win <1%<1%<1%22.7%4.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.9%6.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.3%9.4%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%27.9%13.7%<1%<1%
If Win <1%31.6%13.0%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%24.6%12.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%20.0%10.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatAuxerre
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored1.3
1.4Avg goals conceded2.4
60% / 0% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 10% / 60%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatAuxerre
5All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-03-13): Marseille 1–0 Auxerre