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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Le Havre has a 38% chance to win.

0-2-3 · Rating 1717
Form: LDLDL
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.3%3.5%10.9%4.3%
If Win <1%4.2%4.5%8.1%2.2%
If Draw <1%2.3%2.9%10.8%4.1%
If Lose <1%2.1%2.1%13.4%5.3%

Le Havre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%25.2%17.2%
If Win <1%1.0%<1%22.2%12.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.3%18.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.7%20.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Le HavreStatMarseille
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.6
0% / 40% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Le HavreStatMarseille
0All-time wins (6 meetings, 0 draws)6
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.8Average goals3.3
Last meeting (2026-05-10): Le Havre 0–1 Marseille