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Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 4:15 PM BST

Lille vs Le Havre Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 58% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
0-2-3 · Rating 1717
Form: LDLDL
Model Probability
58%
19%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Havre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%23.9%18.0%
If Win <1%1.4%1.0%19.1%8.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%24.7%14.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%27.5%20.2%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.4%29.5%13.5%<1%<1%
If Win 6.4%34.0%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.7%25.5%11.4%1.1%<1%
If Lose 2.6%20.1%10.2%2.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatLe Havre
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.4
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 40% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatLe Havre
4All-time wins (6 meetings, 1 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.8Average goals0.5
Last meeting (2026-05-03): Lille 1–1 Le Havre