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Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Lille vs Brest Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 58% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1717
Form: LLWDD
Model Probability
58%
19%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brest

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.3%19.9%7.8%
If Win <1%3.2%3.5%11.7%4.1%
If Draw <1%1.8%1.6%17.8%6.7%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.0%20.9%10.4%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.5%28.7%13.0%<1%<1%
If Win 5.8%34.7%14.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.7%26.0%11.8%1.0%<1%
If Lose 2.3%18.2%10.0%1.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatBrest
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatBrest
9All-time wins (19 meetings, 6 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Lille 1–1 Brest