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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Auxerre vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Auxerre has a 40% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1714
Form: WWLLL
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.5%2.0%15.4%4.7%
If Win <1%3.1%3.0%11.1%3.1%
If Draw <1%2.2%2.3%14.9%5.6%
If Lose <1%1.4%1.8%18.7%6.8%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.0%1.9%18.7%9.6%
If Win <1%1.6%1.9%15.7%5.5%
If Draw <1%1.1%1.4%21.0%10.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%22.9%12.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatLorient
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.0
2.4Avg goals conceded1.2
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatLorient
4All-time wins (9 meetings, 4 draws)1
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-01): Lorient 2–2 Auxerre