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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lorient vs PSG Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 61% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
Model Probability
17%
61%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 60.9%90.5%4.7%<1%<1%
If Win 64.9%93.2%3.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 57.5%90.4%4.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 51.7%87.3%5.7%<1%<1%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.3%2.3%14.7%5.6%
If Win <1%3.8%3.5%10.5%2.6%
If Draw <1%2.3%2.6%13.7%5.0%
If Lose <1%1.6%1.7%15.1%6.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatPSG
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatPSG
4All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)14
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.1Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-05-02): PSG 2–2 Lorient