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Ligue 1
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 4:15 PM BST

Lorient vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 41% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
Model Probability
31%
41%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 17.9%58.1%12.3%<1%<1%
If Win 21.6%67.1%11.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 13.9%55.7%14.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 10.2%47.0%13.0%<1%<1%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.4%2.1%15.1%5.5%
If Win <1%3.5%3.9%9.3%2.6%
If Draw <1%2.0%2.1%15.9%5.4%
If Lose <1%1.3%1.7%18.1%8.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatMonaco
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatMonaco
6All-time wins (21 meetings, 7 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-01-16): Monaco 1–3 Lorient