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PSG vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 75% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
75%
Draw 15%
9%
Ligue 1
Lille
6-3-1Rating 1808
Form: WWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.2%44.3%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win 4.6%58.7%12.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.1%48.4%13.1%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.0%42.1%14.5%<1%<1%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 95.5%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 96.8%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 95.4%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 91.5%99.6%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatLille
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored1.4
1.0Avg goals conceded0.7
70% / 20% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 30% / 10%
75% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatLille
20All-time wins (34 meetings, 10 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
2.1Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-08-28): Lille 2–2 PSG