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Lille vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 52% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Lille
6-3-1Rating 1808
Form: WWDDW
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
23%
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3-4-3Rating 1756
Form: WLDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.5%3.7%5.8%<1%
If Win <1%5.1%4.7%2.6%<1%
If Draw <1%3.2%2.8%5.4%<1%
If Lose <1%2.3%2.4%5.8%<1%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.3%45.9%11.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.5%53.5%12.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.0%40.4%13.1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%33.6%14.0%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatToulouse
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.5
0.7Avg goals conceded1.4
60% / 30% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 40% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatToulouse
18All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws)6
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.6Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-09-03): Toulouse 0–1 Lille