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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Toulouse vs Paris FC Prediction & Win Probability

Toulouse has a 40% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1773
Form: WDWWD
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.6%15.4%9.0%2.8%<1%
If Win 2.4%19.2%11.2%1.8%<1%
If Draw 1.7%15.0%8.9%2.5%<1%
If Lose 1.2%12.5%8.3%3.0%<1%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.6%2.2%15.8%5.5%
If Win <1%3.2%2.5%12.0%3.7%
If Draw <1%1.5%1.9%15.3%5.6%
If Lose <1%1.2%1.4%18.3%7.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatParis FC
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatParis FC
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draws)0
2.0Average goals0.5
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Toulouse 1–1 Paris FC