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Ligue 1
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Monaco vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 58% chance to win.

4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
58%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.2%2.2%14.9%4.7%
If Win <1%3.5%3.5%10.5%2.7%
If Draw <1%2.0%2.0%13.4%5.4%
If Lose <1%1.5%1.6%17.0%6.1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 17.4%59.2%12.4%<1%<1%
If Win 17.3%61.7%12.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 13.8%54.4%12.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 11.6%49.8%13.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatLorient
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.0
0.6Avg goals conceded1.2
80% / 20% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatLorient
8All-time wins (21 meetings, 7 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-16): Monaco 1–3 Lorient