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Monaco vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 55% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Monaco
4-4-2Rating 1828
Form: DLDLD
vs
Model Probability
55%
Draw 24%
20%
Ligue 1
Lorient
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WLDWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.4%4.4%4.7%<1%
If Win <1%6.7%5.7%2.4%<1%
If Draw <1%4.3%4.6%3.5%<1%
If Lose <1%2.9%3.6%5.4%<1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%32.9%14.2%<1%<1%
If Win 1.0%35.5%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%27.6%13.3%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%22.3%12.1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatLorient
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored0.9
1.1Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 30% / 30%
50% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatLorient
8All-time wins (22 meetings, 7 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.8Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-10-18): Lorient 1–0 Monaco