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Ligue 1
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lens vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 45% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.4%57.8%12.1%<1%<1%
If Win 22.7%68.7%10.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 15.2%58.5%12.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 12.7%55.1%12.4%<1%<1%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.5%18.9%10.3%2.0%<1%
If Win 3.1%22.2%11.7%1.3%<1%
If Draw 1.6%15.8%10.0%2.4%<1%
If Lose 1.2%11.9%9.8%2.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatMonaco
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatMonaco
7All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-09-18): Monaco 2–1 Lens