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Ligue 1
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Paris FC vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Paris FC has a 46% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1773
Form: WDWWD
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.1%3.4%10.7%3.9%
If Win <1%4.6%4.2%9.4%2.4%
If Draw <1%3.1%3.3%11.2%4.0%
If Lose <1%2.2%2.4%12.0%4.8%

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.0%14.7%10.0%2.4%<1%
If Win 2.4%18.9%10.9%1.5%<1%
If Draw 1.8%14.0%8.9%2.7%<1%
If Lose 1.3%11.3%8.6%3.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Paris FCStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.6Avg goals conceded1.6
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Paris FCStatMarseille
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 1 draws)1
1Last 3 meetings (1 draws)1
2.3Average goals3.0
Last meeting (2026-09-06): Marseille 2–3 Paris FC