Texans @ Chargers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Texans 44 - Chargers 22
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET
Houston
Texans
2-5 Rating 1534
Form: LLWWL
44 – 22
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Houston Texans +2.3
Los Angeles
Chargers
0-7 Rating 1399
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Texans Chargers
All-time wins 5 6
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 22.2 25.0
Last meeting 20 16

Key Season Stats

Stat Texans Chargers
Games played 7 7
Avg points scored 23.6 14.1
Avg points conceded 24.3 25.0
Win percentage 29% 0%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 0%