Texans vs Jaguars

(Neutral venue) NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Texans 34 - Jaguars 31
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
Houston
Texans
1-4 Rating 1547
Form: LLLLW
34 – 31
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Jacksonville Jaguars +3.9
Jacksonville
Jaguars
4-1 Rating 1623
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Texans Jaguars
All-time wins 32 16
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 22.4 19.4
Last meeting 36 29

Key Season Stats

Stat Texans Jaguars
Games played 5 5
Avg points scored 22.0 24.6
Avg points conceded 22.4 14.0
Win percentage 20% 80%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%