Final Score: Guardians 6 - Reds 5
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET
Guardians @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Guardians | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 79 | 65 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 10 | 3 |
| Stat | Guardians | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 107 | 104 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 44% |
Recent Results
Guardians
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
Reds
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8