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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 6
Mon, Nov 16, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Germany vs Netherlands Prediction & Win Probability

Germany has a 36% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1920 · World #9
Form: DWLDD
VS
Rating 1950 · World #7
Form: WDWDD
Model Probability
36%
34%
Draw 31%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand12%16%70%2%
Germany win 33%33%34%<1%
Draw <1%13%84%3%
Netherlands win <1%<1%95%5%

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand65%22%13%<1%
Germany win 36%30%33%<1%
Draw 77%20%3%<1%
Netherlands win 84%16%<1%<1%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Netherlands 4 8 1950 65% 22% 13% <1%
2 Greece 4 8 1752 23% 62% 14% <1%
3 Germany 4 5 1920 12% 16% 70% 2%
4 Serbia 4 0 1728 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
GermanyStatNetherlands
5-3-2Won-Drawn-Lost5-5-0
2.2Avg goals scored2.3
0.7Avg goals conceded1.1
1920Rating1950
#9World rank#7

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
GermanyStatNetherlands
5Wins (13 meetings, 6 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.62Average goals1.46
Last meeting (Thu, Sep 24, 2026, Nations League): Netherlands 1–1 Germany