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Final Score: Netherlands 1–1 Germany
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 1
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Netherlands vs Germany Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Netherlands had a 43% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1950 · World #7
Form: DWWDW
VS
Rating 1920 · World #9
Form: DLWWW
Pre-match probability
43%
27%
Draw 30%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Netherlands 4 8 1950 65% 22% 13% <1%
2 Greece 4 8 1752 23% 62% 14% <1%
3 Germany 4 5 1920 12% 16% 70% 2%
4 Serbia 4 0 1728 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 6 internationals in any competition
NetherlandsStatGermany
3-3-0Won-Drawn-Lost4-1-1
2.67Avg goals scored3.17
1.0Avg goals conceded0.83
1950Rating1920
#7World rank#9

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
NetherlandsStatGermany
2Wins (13 meetings, 6 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.46Average goals1.62
Last meeting (Thu, Sep 24, 2026, Nations League): Netherlands 1–1 Germany

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands

vs Morocco
Tue, Jun 30, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
1–1
@ Tunisia
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 77%
3–1
vs Sweden
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 62%
5–1
vs Japan
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 50%
2–2
vs Lithuania
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 94%
4–0

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

vs Paraguay
Mon, Jun 29, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 63%
1–1
@ Ecuador
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 58%
1–2
vs Ivory Coast
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 67%
2–1
vs Curacao
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 86%
7–1
vs Slovakia
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 70%
6–0