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Final Score: Germany 2–0 Serbia
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 3
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Germany vs Serbia Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Germany had a 66% chance to win, with a 21% chance of a draw.

Rating 1920 · World #9
Form: LDDLW
VS
Rating 1728 · World #34
Form: LLWLW
Pre-match probability
66%
13%
Draw 21%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Netherlands 4 8 1950 65% 22% 13% <1%
2 Greece 4 8 1752 23% 62% 14% <1%
3 Germany 4 5 1920 12% 16% 70% 2%
4 Serbia 4 0 1728 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 8 internationals in any competition
GermanyStatSerbia
4-2-2Won-Drawn-Lost3-0-5
2.5Avg goals scored1.0
0.88Avg goals conceded1.75
1920Rating1728
#9World rank#34

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
GermanyStatSerbia
1Wins (3 meetings, 1 draw)1
1Last 3 meetings (1 draw)1
1.0Average goals0.67
Last meeting (Thu, Oct 1, 2026, Nations League): Germany 2–0 Serbia

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

vs Greece
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 67%
0–1
@ Netherlands
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 27%
1–1
vs Paraguay
Mon, Jun 29, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 63%
1–1
@ Ecuador
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 58%
1–2
vs Ivory Coast
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 67%
2–1

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

vs Netherlands
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 17%
1–2
vs Greece
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 42%
1–2
vs Latvia
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 84%
2–1
@ England
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
0–2
@ Andorra
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 90%
3–1