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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 3
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Germany vs Serbia Prediction & Win Probability

Germany has a 66% chance to win, with a 22% chance of a draw.

Rating 1927 · World #9
Form: DLWWW
VS
Rating 1745 · World #29
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
66%
13%
Draw 22%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand41%41%14%4%
Germany win 48%42%9%1%
Draw 34%42%18%6%
Serbia win 20%35%30%14%

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand4%13%42%42%
Germany win 1%9%42%47%
Draw 5%17%42%36%
Serbia win 14%30%35%21%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Netherlands 0 0 1950 52% 35% 10% 3%
Germany 0 0 1927 41% 41% 14% 4%
Serbia 0 0 1745 4% 13% 42% 42%
Greece 0 0 1728 3% 10% 35% 52%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
GermanyStatSerbia
7-1-2Won-Drawn-Lost5-2-3
2.7Avg goals scored1.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.1
1927Rating1745
#9World rank#29

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
GermanyStatSerbia
0Wins (2 meetings, 1 draw)1
0Last 2 meetings (1 draw)1
0.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Wed, Mar 20, 2019, Friendly): Germany 1–1 Serbia

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

vs Paraguay
Mon, Jun 29, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 63%
1–1
@ Ecuador
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 58%
1–2
vs Ivory Coast
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 67%
2–1
vs Curacao
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 86%
7–1
vs Slovakia
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 70%
6–0

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

vs Latvia
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 84%
2–1
@ England
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
0–2
@ Andorra
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 90%
3–1
vs Albania
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 60%
0–1
vs England
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–5