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Final Score: Greece 2–2 Netherlands
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 3
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Greece vs Netherlands Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Netherlands had a 58% chance to win, with a 25% chance of a draw.

Rating 1752 · World #28
Form: WWDWL
VS
Rating 1950 · World #7
Form: WDDWW
Pre-match probability
17%
58%
Draw 25%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Netherlands 4 8 1950 65% 22% 13% <1%
2 Greece 4 8 1752 23% 62% 14% <1%
3 Germany 4 5 1920 12% 16% 70% 2%
4 Serbia 4 0 1728 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 8 internationals in any competition
GreeceStatNetherlands
4-1-3Won-Drawn-Lost4-4-0
1.62Avg goals scored2.38
1.62Avg goals conceded1.0
1752Rating1950
#28World rank#7

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
GreeceStatNetherlands
1Wins (4 meetings, 1 draw)2
1Last 4 meetings (1 draw)2
1.0Average goals1.75
Last meeting (Thu, Oct 1, 2026, Nations League): Greece 2–2 Netherlands

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece

@ Germany
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 12%
1–0
@ Serbia
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 28%
2–1
@ Belarus
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 65%
0–0
vs Scotland
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 39%
3–2
@ Denmark
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 18%
1–3

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands

@ Serbia
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 59%
2–1
vs Germany
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 43%
1–1
vs Morocco
Tue, Jun 30, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
1–1
@ Tunisia
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 77%
3–1
vs Sweden
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 62%
5–1